Alaa Elhadi
Lombok & the Gili Islands, Indonesia

Airbnb Revenue Forecast Expert in Lombok

What can this property really earn? I project it by hand.I build a month-by-month revenue projection for your Lombok property or purchase: occupancy, ADR and revenue in conservative, realistic and optimistic cases, from a comp set I choose by hand. Quoted on request, delivered remotely.

Airbnb Revenue Forecast Expert in Lombok at a glance

Alaa Elhadi, an independent revenue management consultant, provides Airbnb revenue forecast for Airbnb hosts, vacation rental owners and property managers in Lombok, Indonesia, one to one, remotely and in Central Indonesia Time (UTC+8). In Lombok, I price July to August as the peak and January to March as the quiet time, and I build the work around that calendar. The Airbnb revenue forecast is quoted per property after a short chat, with the scope and price confirmed before work starts. Comparing several candidate properties is scoped together.

Start in the chat or by email. Last updated .

100+

Properties optimized in and around Lombok

1-on-1

Directly with Alaa, no account-manager layer

Central Indonesia Time

Sessions scheduled in your local time

Overview

What is Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok?

An Airbnb revenue forecast is a month-by-month projection of occupancy, ADR and revenue for one property, set beside comparable listings. Buyers use it to test a purchase, operators use it to check an arbitrage lease, and hosts use it to set targets for a live listing.

What I plan around in Lombok: Bali overflow and surf season in Kuta Lombok; Gili island travel; MotoGP at Mandalika; Diving and Rinjani trekking. Guests I price for: European and Australian travellers on 4 to 7 night stays. Where I start: Dry-season premiums, event weeks, and rainy-season floors.

On Airbnb, Booking.com and Agoda I set up PriceLabs or Wheelhouse with dry-season bands, MotoGP premiums and rainy-season floors, and I make sure the listing explains boats, roads and transfers, because clear access information often decides whether guests book four nights or seven.

The service in general is described on my airbnb revenue forecast page; this page covers how I apply it in Lombok.

Included

What the forecast contains in Lombok

Twelve months, three scenarios

I project occupancy, ADR and revenue for each month in conservative, realistic and optimistic cases, with annual totals, RevPAR and seasonality.

  • Monthly occupancy, ADR and revenue
  • Three scenarios
  • RevPAR and annual totals
  • Recommended nightly price bands

A hand-picked comp set

I choose comparable listings by hand and remove inactive ones and outliers, so the benchmark is real and not a postcode average.

  • Comparable listings chosen by hand
  • Inactive listings removed
  • Bedrooms and amenities matched
  • Neighbourhood-level benchmark

Costs, break-even and yield

For a purchase or an arbitrage lease I set revenue against rent or mortgage and costs, and show the occupancy you need to break even.

  • Break-even occupancy
  • Quiet-month coverage check
  • Purchase and yield testing
  • Several properties compared

A report you can show others

A clear report with my reasoning for each assumption, suitable for partners, investors or lenders.

  • Reasoning shown per assumption
  • Presentable to lenders and partners
  • Live listing versus market
  • 12-month targets
Consultant's view

Alaa's take on Lombok

“Lombok is growing as a calmer alternative to Bali, with surf in Kuta Lombok, the Gili Islands and the Mandalika MotoGP circuit. MotoGP weekend is the standout event. Guests stay four to seven nights and often combine several areas. Access between the Gilis, Kuta Lombok and the airport takes planning, so clear travel information helps guests commit to longer stays.”

Alaa Elhadi, revenue management consultant. Cornell certified, 18 years in hotel and short-term rental revenue.

Lombok at a glance

Busiest
July to August and December to January, with MotoGP Mandalika in autumn.
Quietest
February to March rains.
Dates to price first
  • Bali overflow and surf season in Kuta Lombok
  • Gili island travel
  • MotoGP at Mandalika
  • Diving and Rinjani trekking
How I price it

My Lombok calendar, and what I do in each period

  1. January to MarchLow

    Rain and rough crossings to the Gilis slow travel, so I lower floors, offer longer stay value for surfers and remote workers, and keep cancellation terms flexible.

  2. April to JuneShoulder

    Dry weather returns and Rinjani trekking reopens, so I raise rates step by step and target couples combining Lombok with a Bali trip.

  3. July to AugustPeak

    European summer holidays and surf season fill Kuta Lombok and the Gilis, so I set four or five night minimums and stop discounting early.

  4. September to NovemberHigh

    MotoGP weekend at Mandalika is the top event, so I price it far above surrounding dates and keep the rest of the period strong for divers and surfers.

  5. DecemberHigh

    Christmas and New Year bring Australians and Europeans, so I price the holiday week as a premium with longer minimums, especially on Gili Trawangan.

Airbnb Revenue Forecast Expert in Lombok & the Gili Islands, Indonesia

Where I price differently in Lombok

Kuta Lombok and Mandalika
Surf beaches and the MotoGP circuit; I price race weekend as the top date of the year and target surfers on weekly stays the rest of the dry season.
Gili Trawangan
Social island with diving and nightlife; I price for younger travellers and keep shorter minimums except over holiday peaks.
Gili Air and Gili Meno
Quieter islands for couples and honeymooners; I price above Trawangan for privacy and protect rates in the dry season.

What I check first in Lombok

  • How clearly the listing explains boat transfers, airport distance and road times, because guests here often cancel or shorten stays when access looks difficult.
  • Whether the MotoGP dates are loaded as soon as they are confirmed, since rooms around Mandalika sell out early and cheap early bookings lock in lost value.
  • How the property compares with nearby boutique resorts on total cost, including transfers and meals, because many guests compare a villa with a resort package.
Pricing playbook

5 pricing moves, and 3 mistakes, in Lombok

  1. 1

    Price MotoGP Mandalika weekend as the top band.

  2. 2

    Price July to August and December to January as main seasons.

  3. 3

    Price Gili Islands homes around boat access.

  4. 4

    Target surfers in Kuta Lombok.

  5. 5

    Lower February and March floors.

Mistakes I fix in Lombok

  • MotoGP ignored.
  • Gilis priced like mainland Lombok.
  • Rainy season priced like peak.
Who it is for

When Airbnb revenue forecast makes sense in Lombok

Buying a property

You want to test the price and yield before you make an offer.

Considering arbitrage

You want to see whether revenue covers the rent in the slowest months.

Launching a listing

You need a realistic first-year target and launch plan.

Already hosting

You want your live listing benchmarked against the market.

How it works

From first message to results in Lombok

  1. 01

    Tell me the property

    Send the address, bedrooms and your goal. No account access is needed and the listing does not have to exist yet.

  2. 02

    I build the comp set

    I choose comparable listings and remove inactive ones and outliers.

  3. 03

    I project each month

    Occupancy, ADR and revenue for every month in three scenarios, with my assumptions written down.

Step 4

We go through it

I send the report and walk you through it, and can compare a second property if you need.

Pricing

Revenue forecast pricing

I quote per property after a short chat, and confirm the scope and the price before starting. Comparing several candidate properties is scoped together.

OptionWhat you getPrice
Single propertyTwelve-month projection, three scenarios, reportQuoted
Several propertiesCandidates compared side by sideQuoted
What partners say

Trusted by hosts and managers worldwide

Real feedback from PriceLabs pricing strategy sessions with Alaa.

★★★★★

Savvy adjustments to my dynamic pricing

Alaa is a consummate professional! Patient, thorough, efficient and effective in communicating. He not only made savvy adjustments to my dynamic pricing strategy, but also helped me to understand the reasoning behind his methods, granting me a better understanding of the PriceLabs platform. Strong work!

Airbnb host

★★★★★

Great PriceLabs advice for every property

Alaa was fantastic, going through each of the properties I had and gave great advice and actioned a great game plan. Would highly recommend for anyone looking to enhance their pricing strategy on PriceLabs. Alaa's experience goes beyond this which makes it very beneficial to have this holistic approach.

Property manager

★★★★★

Helped me optimize my PriceLabs

Alaa helped me optimize my PriceLabs settings for my Airbnb listing and was very helpful and patient with answering any questions I had. He was also able to clearly explain why he made the changes he made, and it was obvious that he had a lot of experience in this field. I will definitely be back!

Airbnb host

FAQ

11 questions about Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok

When is Lombok busiest, and how do you price Airbnb revenue forecast around it?

Busiest in Lombok: July to August and December to January, with MotoGP Mandalika in autumn. September to November: MotoGP weekend at Mandalika is the top event, so I price it far above surrounding dates and keep the rest of the period strong for divers and surfers. December: Christmas and New Year bring Australians and Europeans, so I price the holiday week as a premium with longer minimums, especially on Gili Trawangan. For Airbnb revenue forecast, i model these windows month by month, so peak months carry the revenue they realistically can and not an annual average.

What do you do in Lombok's quiet months?

For Airbnb revenue forecast, i project the quiet months separately, which is what shows whether a purchase or an arbitrage lease survives them. Quietest in Lombok: February to March rains. April to June: Dry weather returns and Rinjani trekking reopens, so I raise rates step by step and target couples combining Lombok with a Bali trip. January to March: Rain and rough crossings to the Gilis slow travel, so I lower floors, offer longer stay value for surfers and remote workers, and keep cancellation terms flexible.

Which parts of Lombok do you treat differently for Airbnb revenue forecast?

Kuta Lombok and Mandalika: Surf beaches and the MotoGP circuit; I price race weekend as the top date of the year and target surfers on weekly stays the rest of the dry season. Gili Trawangan and Gili Air and Gili Meno get their own treatment. For Airbnb revenue forecast, i choose the comp set from the part of Lombok your property is actually in, and remove inactive listings and outliers.

What do you check first on a Lombok property when it comes to Airbnb revenue forecast?

For Airbnb revenue forecast, i check this before projecting anything, because a projection built on a wrong assumption only looks precise. Whether the MotoGP dates are loaded as soon as they are confirmed, since rooms around Mandalika sell out early and cheap early bookings lock in lost value.

Who books in Lombok, and how does that change Airbnb revenue forecast?

European and Australian travellers on 4 to 7 night stays. Demand is driven by MotoGP at Mandalika and Diving and Rinjani trekking. For Airbnb revenue forecast, i base length of stay and booking window assumptions on how these guests book.

What is your view of Lombok as a market for Airbnb revenue forecast?

Access between the Gilis, Kuta Lombok and the airport takes planning, so clear travel information helps guests commit to longer stays. Lombok is growing as a calmer alternative to Bali, with surf in Kuta Lombok, the Gili Islands and the Mandalika MotoGP circuit. That is the view I bring to Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok.

Which dates and events in Lombok do you price first?

Bali overflow and surf season in Kuta Lombok, Gili island travel and MotoGP at Mandalika are the dates I price first for Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok. September to November: MotoGP weekend at Mandalika is the top event, so I price it far above surrounding dates and keep the rest of the period strong for divers and surfers.

What results can I expect from Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok, and how soon?

Results depend on the property, the starting point and the season, so I do not promise a number. In Lombok the first gains from Airbnb revenue forecast usually come from the change with the clearest local signal: target surfers in Kuta Lombok. I review progress against your own occupancy, ADR and RevPAR, not a market average.

How much does Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok cost, and how do I start?

The Airbnb revenue forecast is quoted per property after a short chat, with the scope and price confirmed before work starts. Comparing several candidate properties is scoped together. The scope of Airbnb revenue forecast is the same in every market, but the plan is not: in Lombok I would start from September to November: MotoGP weekend at Mandalika is the top event, so I price it far above surrounding dates and keep the rest of the period strong for divers and surfers. To start, open the chat or email me with your property type and size in Lombok.

Can you work with a Lombok property remotely, in my time zone?

Yes. Airbnb Revenue Forecast Expert in Lombok is delivered remotely and scheduled in Central Indonesia Time (UTC+8), and 100+ properties in and around Lombok have been optimized, including in areas such as Gili Trawangan. Everything is remote: you send an address and a few details, and I build the projection. Start in the chat or by email and tell me what you run in Lombok.

Why hire a consultant for Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok instead of an agency or an in-house hire?

For Airbnb revenue forecast, i build each projection by hand, which is why it gives a range with reasoning and not one headline number. I have optimized 100+ properties in and around Lombok and work remotely in Central Indonesia Time (UTC+8). Locally, that shows up in decisions like this: target surfers in Kuta Lombok.

More in this market

Everything else I do in Lombok

The other services I offer in Lombok, for hotels and for Airbnb and short-term rentals. Each has its own page for this market.

Back to the revenue management consultant page for Lombok, or read the general page for airbnb revenue forecast.

Nearby markets

Airbnb Revenue Forecast Expert in other Asia-Pacific markets

Talk to Alaa

Ready for Airbnb revenue forecast in Lombok?

Tell me what you run in Lombok and what you need. I reply in Central Indonesia Time, confirm the scope and the price, and start only when you say so.